Quantile analysis of average monthly temperature and precipitation on the territory of Belarus
Abstract
Analysis of average monthly air temperature and monthly precipitation sums has been performed using quantile regression method. Percentiles corresponding with selected extremes, i. e. below 0.1 and above 0.9, were taken into consideration. Distribution and temporal variability of temperature quantiles were determined for winter and summer seasons. Statistically significant relation between air temperature and characteristics of underlying surface is observed mainly for quantile 0.9 above. Spatial distribution of quantiles of monthly precipitation sums is more complex and is close to seasonal average only for 0.9 quantile. At the same time, their temporal variability corresponds well with features of modern warming. Statistically significant relation between monthly precipitation sums and elevation above sea level was found.
About the Authors
V. F. Loginov
Institute of Nature Management of the National academy of Sciences of Belarus
Belarus
Belarus
Vladimir F. Loginov – Academician, D. Sc. (Geography), Chief Researcher
10, F. Skoriny Str., 220076, Minsk
M. A. Khitrykau
Institute of Nature Management of the National academy of Sciences of Belarus
Belarus
Belarus
Maksim A. Khitrykau – Ph. D. (Geography), Researcher
10, F. Skoriny Str., 220076, Minsk
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Review
For citations:
Loginov V.F., Khitrykau M.A. Quantile analysis of average monthly temperature and precipitation on the territory of Belarus. Nature Management. 2023;(1):5-16. (In Russ.)
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